Great value in Molde FK goals

Molde FK is one of the best teams in Tippeligaen in Norway (they have won the league the last two seasons), but have struggled so far this spring. They have started to find the net the last couple of games though and have had some descent results after their chock loss to Haugesund (1-5 at home):

Rosenborg 0 – 0 Molde (Molde red card minute 20)
Molde 4 – 0 Hønefoss
Hødd 1 – 1 Molde (cup game, 2-2 after extra time and Molde won after penalties)
Molde 6 – 0 Ranheim (cup game)
Vålerenga 3 – 3 Molde

They have lost Magnus Wolff Eikrem to Heerenveen recently but have a strong squad.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, head coach in Molde FK.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, head coach in Molde FK.

Today Molde FK hosts Sarpsborg 08, a team that usually fight to avoid relegation in Tippeligaen and is newly promoted. They have played very goal-rich games lately. In their last six league games they have scored eleven goals and conceded 18!

Sarpsborg 3 – 2 Sandnes
Tromsø 5 – 0 Sarpsborg
Rosenborg 4 – 2 Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 3 – 3 Vålerenga
Brann 3 – 1 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 3 – 5 Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 2 – 1 Start

Most bookies have very low prices for the over bets today (over 2.5 goals is priced around 1.45), but I have found two that have high odds for Molde goals. Betsafe offers 1.49 for over 1.5 Molde goals and 2.02 for Molde to score in both halves. Betsson offers 1.48 for Molde over 1.5 and 2.05 for home goals in both halves. As a comparision, Bet365 pays 1.35 for over 1.5 Molde goals and 1.80 for Molde to score in both halves.

I am confident that if this game ends with over 2.5 goals then Molde will score at least twice. Therefore I think there is better value in Molde FK over 1.5 at 1.49 than over 2,5 in the game at 1.45 (a bit higher odds and 2-0 is covered).

If you aren’t limited on Betsafe or Betsson I suggest over 1.5 goals and a small wager on goals in both halves. I will try to start a snowball with these bets.

Pre game information (in Norwegian) and interviews with Moldes head coach Ole Gunnar Solskjaer can be found on Molde FK’s home page.