A few good and a few bad picks in my blogging-with-bets comeback yesterday. Importantly, Standard Liege did what they should and won easily. Therefore, my snowball is starting to grow really big. Next up is Leyton Orient FC, and if they do their job on Tuesday I will continue to update this blog post with my next bets in the snowball until it melts.

The reason for making an already-started-snowball public is for my own sake. I believe I will do my research better and only take bets that I have really thought about if I publish them here. (But I guess that I will lose immediately now when I am going public.)

The rules are as usual when I play snowballs, money is cashed out after each round.

Below are a piece of the Excel sheet I use for the snowball. This picture will be updated after each winning bet.

The new picks are updated below. I will usually not motivate my picks.

17 September – Leyton Orient

8.69 units to place.

Leyton Orient – Notts County: Leyton Orient DnB @1.28 (Bet365). 5 units.

Leyton Orient – Notts County: Leyton Orient over 1.5 goals @1.90 (MarathonBet). 3.69 units.

Here I create my own home made kind of handicap bet on Leyton Orient. I really like 1.90 for Leyton Orient over 1.5 goals at MarathonBet but unfortunately I can’t play big on that bookie for this game. I play it a bit safe with 5 units on the Draw no Bet (DnB) option on Leyton Orient to survive even if this ends 0-0 or 1-1.

I do not think I will get 1.28 for Leyton Orient DnB or 1.90 for over 1.5 goals on Tuesday and place an early bet.

RESULT: 5-1, +4.72 units. 3.301 units are cashed out (70% of win) and 10.11 units are available for next bet.

18 September – Barcelona goals

Leyton orient did well last night. Today I go for goals in Barcelona vs Ajax. There is probably not much value in the bet, but I am confident that Barcelona will score at least two goals (probably more) and take Barcelona over 2.0 goals for half the wager. The other half is placed on over 1.0 goals in first half (for both teams). My bets are

Barcelona – Ajax: Barcelona over 2.0 goals (Asian line) @1.222 (MarathonBet). 5 units.

Barcelona – Ajax: Over 1.0 goals first half (Asian line) @1.26 (MarathonBet). 5.11 units.

RESULT: 4-0 (1-0) => Win on Barcelona over 2.0 goals, push on over 1.0 goals first half. 0.670 units are cashed out (60% of win) and 10.55 units available for next bet.

19 September – Fiorentina

Fiorentia – Pacos Ferreira: Home win @1.33 (Bet365). 10.55 units.

RESULT: 3-0 => +3.48 units. 2.092 units are cashed out (60% of win) and 11.94 units are available for next bet.

21 September – Barcelona

Tonight I take Barcelona. I will perhaps add an in-play bet on Atletico Madrid later (if Barcelona win).

Vallecano – Barcelona: Away win @1.20 (Bet365). 11.94 units.

RESULT: 0-4 => +2.39 units. 1.438 units are cashed out (60% of win) and 12.89 units are available for next bet.

I take another bet tonight.

Rayo Vallecano – Atletico Madrid: Atletico -0.25 (Asian) @1.45 (Bet365). 12.89 units.

RESULT: 0-2 => +5.80 units. 3.481 are cashed out (60% of win) and 15.21 units are available for next bet.

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I will continue presenting my bets in a new post.